Saturday, May 1, 2010

Updated Standings, Crushing Depression, and Pretending I Know about Statistics

Before we get to the updated standings, let's briefly consider the performance thus far of our leagues cellar dwellers, the Pittsburgh Pirates. As of this writing, they have amassed a total of 82 runs (28th in baseball) and allowed 161 (last in baseball), good enough for a run differential (RD) of -79. The Pirates have allowed nearly twice as many runs as they have scored through 23 games. It's a small sample size, but we're going to have fun with it anyway! Because America loves comparisons, that's why. How do this year's Bucs look next to the worst team in recent memory, the 2003 Detroit Tigers*, and the worst team in baseball history, the 1899 Cleveland Spiders?


Runs thru 23 games Runs allowed thru 23 games RD thru 23 games Record thru 23 games Season Record Season RD
1899 Cleveland Spiders 77 179 -102 3-20 20-134 -719
2003 Detroit Tigers 52 118 -66 3-20 43-119 -337
2010 Pittsburgh Pirates 82 161 -79 10-13 ? ?

Clearly, the Pirates have fared much better than the other two teams in the wins column, and they're on top of this heap in runs scored as well. Things aren't even quite as bad as they seem in the RA column; remove their staff's three worst outings this year, and that number shrinks from 161 down to 109. Omitting these outliers would give 2010 Pittsburgh an RD of -27, moving them up from #15 to #12 in the Championship Standings. All this to say, the 2010 Pittsburgh Pirates are not a good baseball team, but they're not among the worst teams of all time.

In fact, they might not even be the worst team in baseball this season -- the hapless O's of Baltimore have an RD of -40, and they haven't allowed more than 9 runs in a game. Pirates pitching without the outliers has given up 5.45 runs per game; the Orioles have allowed 5.5 on average, and their offenses have also produced at an identical pace. Playing as the only Championship club in the AL East while Pittsburgh cavorts in the Championship-rich NL Central should permit Baltimore to surpass the Pirates in mediocrity as the season progresses. Be Brave, Bucs faithful -- it's only May 1st.

PREMIERSHIP STANDINGS:

POSITION TEAM GAMES PLAYED WINS LOSSES RUNS SCORED RUNS ALLOWED RUN DIFF Win PCG Last Week
#1 Tampa Bay Rays 24 17 7 146 80 66 0.708 #1
#2 San Francisco Giants 23 14 9 107 66 41 0.609 #5
#3 New York Yankees 23 15 8 124 86 38 0.652 #2
#4 St. Louis Cardinals 24 16 8 111 76 35 0.667 #6
#5 Minnesota Twins 24 15 9 122 92 30 0.625 #4
#6 Philadelphia Phillies 23 13 10 125 99 26 0.565 #3
#7 Colorado Rockies 24 11 13 122 101 21 0.458 #7
#8 Chicago Cubs 25 12 13 119 112 7 0.480 #11
#9 Texas Rangers 24 12 12 108 102 6 0.500 #12
#10 Florida Marlins 24 12 12 114 111 3 0.500 #8
#11 Toronto Blue Jays 25 12 13 113 112 1 0.480 #9
#12 Atlanta Braves 24 10 14 95 104 -9 0.417 #13
#13 Los Angeles Dodgers 23 9 14 117 129 -12 0.391 #10
#14 Boston Red Sox 24 11 13 112 131 -19 0.458 #14
#15 Los Angeles Angels 25 12 13 101 125 -24 0.480 #15


CHAMPIONSHIP STANDINGS:

POSITION TEAM GAMES PLAYED WINS LOSSES RUNS SCORED RUNS ALLOWED RUN DIFF Win PCG Last Week
#1 San Diego Padres 23 15 8 106 77 29 0.652 #1
#2 New York Mets 24 14 10 105 83 22 0.583 #3
#3 Oakland Athletics 25 13 12 110 102 8 0.520 #2
#4 Detroit Tigers 25 15 10 123 115 8 0.600 #7
#5 Seattle Mariners 24 11 13 85 87 -2 0.458 #5
#6 Milwaukee Brewers 23 9 14 126 129 -3 0.391 #4
#7 Arizona Diamondbacks 24 11 13 139 145 -6 0.458 #6
#8 Washington Nationals 24 13 11 101 115 -14 0.542 #10
#9 Chicago White Sox 24 10 14 99 117 -18 0.417 #9
#10 Cincinnati Reds 24 12 12 109 132 -23 0.500 #13
#11 Cleveland Indians 23 10 13 82 108 -26 0.435 #8
#12 Kansas City Royals 24 10 14 103 131 -28 0.417 #11
#13 Houston Astros 23 8 15 71 109 -38 0.348 #12
#14 Baltimore Orioles 24 6 18 87 127 -40 0.250 #14
#15 Pittsburgh Pirates 23 10 13 82 161 -79 0.435 #15


Remember, true standings (against teams within the Premiership and Championship) will be released on a less regular basis due to small sample sizes and (frankly) effort involved. Coming soon, opinion pieces on the game, Cubs fandom, and the nature of strategy in Premiership Baseball.


*I was surprised to learn in my research that this team had neither the worst offensive production nor the worst pitching/defense in the majors that season. Those ignoble honors go to the LA Dodgers (574 runs scored) and the Texas Rangers (969 RA). Of course, the Dodgers had the best staff in baseball that year with 556 RA, and the Rangers were 8th in baseball with 826 runs.

No comments:

Post a Comment

Followers